Season Prediction Part III: what will happen
Could BC go 14-0 this year? Sure. I am the guy who will pick them to win each week in my game previews. But when I remove the maroon glasses, I still see plenty of questions combined with plenty of positives. But let's look at this somewhat objectively. If I told you Team A had a sophomore QB, a rebuilt offensive line, a some dinged up running backs and a new offensive coordinator, would you expect that offense to be better than it was a year ago? I think the changes and young talent will make improvements, but this will be more in line with one of BC's average years and not one of the great ones. But don't think I am lowering expectations. We should be a bowl team and be competitive with every team on our schedule.[Eds note: the following serves as my official prediction for the season.]
What will happen
Northwestern. Win. This might be the perfect opponent to start the season. They have decent talent and are one dimensional. If we win, we will get respect and we'll have a good barometer of the our team's capabilities. If we can score in the 20s, I think we can win. Throw in Persa at less than 100% and I think we can win with ease.
at Central Florida. Win. Playing Week 2 at night in Central Florida is not a gimme. In fact, this out of conference schedule is probably the most challenging we've had since joining the ACC. I think we will win down there, but it will be close and low scoring.
Duke. Win. Duke gave us a scare last year, but I think we will handle them this year at home. Especially with more playmakers on our offense.
UMass. Win. One day we will lose to a FCS team, but I don't see it this year. BC wins by a comfortable margin.
Wake Forest. Loss. There is going to be a fluky game. It's going to come when the whole team, fanbase and nation thinks we are riding high. I think it comes here. Despite Wake's backslide Grobe is a good coach and will have the team competitive this year.
at Clemson. Win. I don't know what to expect from Clemson. I don't like Dabo, but think they hired a good offensive coordinator. When in doubt lean towards the head coach screwing things up. I think we win this game and move into the Top 25.
at Virginia Tech. Loss. Spaz's first game in Lane was a bloodbath. I think this will be less embarrassing, but still a loss. Rettig struggles a bit and we make some special teams errors. The "L" knocks us out of the Top 25 again.
at Maryland. Win. Maybe it's Edsall or maybe it's Gary Crowton trying to get Friedgen's guys to buy into his new system, but I think this will be a rough year for Maryland. I think BC wins this one and hold Maryland to under 13 points.
Florida State. Loss. This will be another indicator game. Can this team step up with the whole college football world watching? Does Rettig excel at the highest level? Will Spaz have the team ready? I think it will be a close game, but don't see us winning.
NC State. Win. I think BC benefits from the extra time and wins. The seventh win guarantees another winning season.
at Notre Dame. Loss. I think we will play them tough, but come up short. This is a big letdown for all of our fans who only pay attention to this game.
at Miami. Loss. This has the feel of our last game in Miami as BC wastes opportunities and loses to a team they shouldn't. Because it is another spotlight game, the season starts to feel a lot like the last two.
This would leave us with a 7-5 (4-4) record. People are high about Rettig, but still unsure of if Spaz can ever break through the ceiling. We are selected for the Independence Bowl and take on Air Force. It is a sloppy game but finish the season 8-5 and we all feel like we are back in TOB mode.
Labels: season predictions